Alec Sarner

All League Offensive Lineman – Center

Taliban Sign Peace Agreement

The failure of a deal could occur in the next 12 to 18 months. The first is a failed peace process. The second is negotiations that begin but end up getting bogged down. The difference between the two is subtle, but important. The collapse of the negotiations would mean the end of the negotiations; one or both parties refuse to meet and there are no serious prospects for discussion in the foreseeable future. The stagnation of the negotiations would reflect a deadlock. Both sides are prepared to continue to talk, at least in principle, but they are unable or unwilling to make significant progress on the issues. The parties could even reach an interim agreement, but implementation is collapsing. In a variation of this contingency, the Afghan government and the Taliban could reach a fragile interim agreement, but one or both sides would not implement part of the agreement. This situation could put the United States in a precarious position. It should decide whether it should continue to withdraw its forces because the parties have reached an agreement or whether it must stop the withdrawal until a solution is found. After the Kabul case and the election of Pashtun tribal leader Hamid Karzai as national interim leader, the Kandahar Taliban abandoned following an offer of amnesty from Karzai.

However, the United States rejected part of the amnesty that allowed the Taliban leader, Mullah Omar, to “live with dignity” in his native Kandahar. [32] The Taliban were not invited to the Bonn Agreement of December 2001, which led to the resurgence of the Taliban on the battlefield and the continuation of the conflict. [33] This is due in part to the apparent defeat of the Taliban, but also to an American condition that the Taliban not be allowed to participate. In 2003, the Taliban showed signs of a return and soon after, their insurgency was underway. UN negotiator Lakhdar Brahimi acknowledged in 2006 that “our original sin” was not to invite the Taliban to Bonn. [34] Insurgent attacks in the country quadrupled between 2002 and 2006. [35] At the end of 2007, despite the presence of 40,000 NATO-led ISAF forces, Afghanistan was “threatened” to be under Taliban control. [36] Another problem is that the recent Afghan presidential elections were contested and resulted in a divided and dysfunctional government in Kabul.

April 13, 2021 - Posted by | Uncategorized